red: so why do you care *keeps hitting blue with the bat*
me: whaaaaa this hurts so much help me

haha very funny owww stop it red
red: this is my revenge remeber this anime girls hit harder then the villians.

Hurt two was really Perverted notice how it's in large

I've read a lot of theories regarding the disappearance of Ursa, the death of Fire Lord Azulon,??and Ozai's ascension to the throne, but sofar I think they all seem to have holes in them.?? Therefore, I'm going to take a scientific approach and list all the facts which any successful theory must be able to explain satisfactorily.

Some generalizations which were emphasized in the show:

Azula always liesMother's are very protective of their childrenfire lord Azulon was a picture of health

The time line:

Zuko, Azula, Ursa, and Ozai attend the audience with Fire Lord AzulonAzula and Zuko, hear Azulon tell Ozai that he will be punished, but only Azula hears what that punishment isAzula taunts Zuko, saying that their father is going to kill himUrsa has a talk with AzulaUrsa wakes Zuko up at night to tell him that everything she's done she did to protect him, then puts up her hood and leavesthe next morning, Ursa is missing and Fire Lord Azulon has died.?? Azula seems quite pleased.Zuko finds Ozai apparently starring at the pond; he doesn't seem very happyOzai is coronated at Azulon's funeral and the person conducting the ceremony says that this was Azulon's dying wishNo one disputes Ozai's claim to the throne including Iroh who would presumably still control the army even though the seige of Ba Sing Se has endedIroh doesn't seem to harbor any ill will toward his younger brother and Ozai seems to trust Iroh since we see that Iroh??was allowed to take part in the war council meetings

Observations:

It would seem that there must have been some very extensive evidence that Azulon really??did change??the succession order as his dying wish because if there were any doubt about it, one would assume Iroh would have the better claim in the eyes of the people of the fire nation since he was obviously the favored son, most of the army was probably still loyal to him (zhao addresses him as "hero of our nation"), and he was the first born so??he would have been the heir apparent for decades and everyone would have assumed that he would take over??some day.Azula is the only source for the story that Ozai's punishment was that he had to sacrifice his own son, and in point of fact, this is exactally the sort of story one can easily imagin Azula making up just to scare her brother. Then again, Fire Lord Azulon doesn't seem like a very loving happy person and other Fire Lords have been shown to be rather sadistic with their offspring, so it's not entirely impossible that she could have been telling the truth about that.Ozai clearly wanted to usurp the throne, so assuming he had a way of faking proof of Azulon's dying wish that he (Ozai)??become the next Fire Lord, then Ozai would have had a motive to kill Azulon as soon as he had refused to revoke Iroh's birthright and make him (Ozai) the heir to the throne.?? However it would have been extremely difficult to pull that off and make it look like natural causes and more importantly, that scenario would make it totally unnecessary for Ursa to disappear.?? In other words, If Ozai indeed had a way of getting away with??killing his father??and faking a change in the succession, then regardless of whether Azula was telling the truth about the punishment, it would have been completely unnecessary for any sacrifice to take place since if we assume Ozai had planned a way to fake the change in succession, it's also reasonable to assume he would have also planned an opportunity to kill his father before he could protect himself.If Ozai didn't have a way to fake the change in succession, then Azulon would actually have had to make Ozai the new heir as his dying wish.?? For this to have happened, something very dramatic must have occured to have changed Azulon's mind before he died.?? It's possible that this could be connected with Ursa's disappearance.??

One intriguing theory??in this thread suggested that the real punishment might have been for Ozai to be entirely removed from the line of succession.?? While this is a very interesting theory,??I don't think it provides an adaquate explanation for Ursa's disappearance because even if she found out that Ozai had killed Azulon and usurped the throne for himself, when it rightfully should have gone first to Iroh and then to Zuko,??she still wouldn't have needed to leave (abandoning her son)??because Zuko wouldn't have been in any danger and he would have been next in line to be Fire Lord anyway.

This is all the analysis??I can come up with at this point.?? In my opinion, there are probably still essential pieces of the puzzle which we haven't seen yet, so we may simply have to wait for these mysteries??solved within the show.

bump.